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Over the past decade, the MVP award has almost exclusively gone to quarterbacks. That trend doesnโt seem to be shifting entering this season either, with quarterbacks occupying the top ten spots on the odds board. This includes last yearโs MVP, Lamar Jackson, who has the third-best odds to win his third.
With the season underway, this race will start garnering intense debate on every football podcast. You can check out the up-to-date odds below and start planning NFL futures for the 2024-25 season.
Player | Opening Odds | DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Patrick Mahomes | +650 | +330 | +230 | +240 | +280 |
Josh Allen | +800 | +600 | +900 | +750 | +600 |
Lamar Jackson | +1200 | +600 | +650 | +650 | +600 |
CJ Stroud | +1100 | +750 | +600 | +650 | +800 |
Jayden Daniels | N/A | +1000 | +1100 | +1000 | +1100 |
Sam Darnold | N/A | +1300 | +1200 | +1300 | +1300 |
Joe Burrow | +1000 | +1800 | +2200 | +1500 | +2500 |
Brock Purdy | +1600 | +2000 | +1900 | +1800 | +1800 |
Jared Goff | +5000 | +2000 | +2200 | +2000 | +2500 |
Dak Prescott | +1600 | +2500 | +2500 | +3000 | +2500 |
Kyler Murray | +5000 | +2500 | +3000 | +2800 | +2500 |
Baker Mayfield | +6000 | +2800 | +4000 | +3000 | +4000 |
Jalen Hurts | +1600 | +3000 | +2800 | +3000 | +2800 |
Kirk Cousins | +4000 | +3500 | +2200 | +3500 | +2500 |
Jordan Love | +1400 | +4000 | +4500 | +4000 | +4500 |
Aaron Rodgers | +2500 | +5000 | +6500 | +4000 | +5000 |
Derek Carr | +4000 | +6000 | +12,000 | +12,500 | +10,000 |
*odds as of 10-8-2024
Patrick Mahomes (Kansas City Chiefs): Fresh off adding another Super Bowl ring to his trophy case, Mahomes enters the 2024-25 season looking for his third MVP award. Despite raising the Lombardi Trophy last year, Mahomes is coming off a down season statistically, as he threw a career-high 14 interceptions.
One of the biggest NFL storylines last season was the lack of chemistry between Mahomes and his receiving corps. That did not look to be the case early this season, but a season-ending injury for Rashee Rice could cause a lot of problems down the road. Through five weeks, Mahomes has thrown for 1,235 yards, six touchdowns, and six interceptions.
Josh Allen (Buffalo Bills): Allen finished 5th in MVP voting last year. However, much like Mahomes, the Bills signal-caller finished the season with a career-high in interceptions with 18. He also finished with 29 touchdown passes, the lowest total heโs produced since 2019.
Now, some of those numbers could partially be blamed on the Bills' offensive dysfunction early in 2023. Since Joe Brady took over, Allen has looked more comfortable on offense, which has him nipping at Mahomes' heels for this award. After a tough loss to the Texans in week five, Allen has 945 passing yards, eight touchdown passes, zero interceptions, and two rushing touchdowns.
Lamar Jackson (Baltimore Ravens): After starting the season 0-2, Lamar Jackson has gotten his team back on track with three straight wins, including a comeback win against Cincinnati. Jackson has not been torching defenses through the air, but he's made big throws when he's needed to while also running all over opposing defenses. Following the big win over Cincinnati, Jackson has 1,206 passing yards, nine passing touchdowns, and two rushing touchdowns.
Season | Player | Position | Team |
---|---|---|---|
2023 | Lamar Jackson | Quarterback | Baltimore Ravens |
2022 | Patrick Mahomes | Quarterback | Kansas City Chiefs |
2021 | Aaron Rodgers | Quarterback | Green Bay Packers |
2020 | Aaron Rodgers | Quarterback | Green Bay Packers |
2019 | Lamar Jackson | Quarterback | Baltimore Ravens |
2018 | Patrick Mahomes | Quarterback | Kansas City Chiefs |
2017 | Tom Brady | Quarterback | New England Patriots |
2016 | Matt Ryan | Quarterback | Atlanta Falcons |
2015 | Cam Newton | Quarterback | Carolina Panthers |
2014 | Aaron Rodgers | Quarterback | Green Bay Packers |
The last time a player who did not play quarterback won the MVP was in 2012, when Adrian Peterson won it after he rushed for over 2,000 yards.
Only two defensive players have won the award since 1957, with Lawrence Taylor being the most recent in 1986.
Winning multiple MVPs is more than possible, as Aaron Rodgers, Patrick Mahomes, and Lamar Jackson have all won at least two in the past ten years.
A quarterback does not just have to lead the league in touchdowns to win the award, as Dak Prescott had more TDs and yards than Lamar Jackson in 2023.
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