An exciting week of football will come to an end tonight in Tampa Bay with the Buccaneers hosting the New Orleans Saints. Both teams enter this week with losing records and fresh off bad losses, however, the Buccaneers still sit atop the NFC South division. We’ll go over one player prop for each team that could help you end the football week on a high note.
It does not get much lower offensively than being shut out and after last week's 13-0 loss to the 49ers, the Saints' offense is in desperate need of a spark. That is where Olave comes in, the rookie has been the Saints' primary target on offense and I think he is going to be involved heavily in tonight’s game plan.
Olave is averaging 74.7 yards per game this season and even in last weekend's shut-out, he was able to catch five balls for 62 yards and go over his receiving yards prop. In his one game against the Buccaneers this season he was able to finish with 80 yards despite having a struggling Jameis Winston at quarterback.
The Buccaneers have had a strong pass defense this season but in the last two weeks, they have let number one receivers put up solid numbers on them. Last week Amari Cooper was able to catch seven passes for 94 yards and the week prior DK Metcalf went for 71 yards. Andy Dalton will be looking to get his primary target involved often regardless of the Bucs' pass defense numbers similar to the Bucs previous two opponents.
Excluding the first week of the season, the least amount of targets Olave has seen in a game is five, so the Saints who throw the ball 58.6% of the time on offense should be calling his number often tonight, giving this prop a really good chance of hitting.
The Buccaneers might have a losing record but for the most part, Brady has been efficient this season. The veteran quarterback has done a really good job of limiting turnovers entering tonight with only two interceptions on the season and I don’t think this Saints will be changing that.
New Orleans has only managed to come up with two interceptions all season, which is the lowest in the NFL. The Saints are also 29th in the league in pass defenses so as a whole this defense has not been able to contest or challenge a large majority of pass attempts.
Tampa Bay is averaging .8 turnovers per game which is the lowest in the league, so I have a hard time believing the Saints can force any turnovers tonight. Making Brady uncomfortable in the pocket would be the best way for them to create interceptions but New Orleans is 23rd in the league in QB hits so Brady should not feel the need to force the ball anywhere due to pressure.