After a fun and entertaining Sunday of NFL action Week 12 of the season will wrap up tonight in Indianapolis with the Colts hosting the Pittsburgh Steelers. The closer you get to the postseason the more one would hope to see battles between possible playoff teams and despite that not being the case tonight it doesn’t mean we can’t profit off the game. We’ll go over two player prop bets for the action to help end your Week 12 on a high note.
The Colts have been one of the worst offensive teams in the NFL this season, however, they might have a good chance to move the ball through the air tonight against a weak Steelers pass defense. Pittman Jr. is Matt Ryan’s primary target as he has been targeted 9 or more times in six games this season and I think tonight will be no different.
Pittsburgh’s defense is 31st in the league in passing yards allowed per game with an average of 272.1 yards and they also allow an average of 7.5 yards per pass which is 29th in the league. Despite Matt Ryan’s struggles this season he should still be able to find Pittman Jr. early and often throughout the game for big yardage.
Pittman Jr. is averaging 67.8 receiving yards a game and enters this week off a 75-yard performance against a strong Eagles secondary. He could probably be averaging more yards if the Colts had any stability at quarterback, but that is beside the point. The main point is that the Steelers allowed Stefon Diggs, Amari Cooper, Nelson Agholor, and Ja’Marr Chase to go over 100 receiving yards in one game.
A majority of the guys listed are primary receivers just like Pittman Jr. is, so despite the Colts' offensive limitations Pittman Jr. should still be able to have a field day. Pittsburgh has allowed 1198 yards after the catch this season so even if he can’t get anything downfield Pittman Jr. should still be able to break loose a few times and go over his total.
The Indianapolis Colts' pass defense has probably been one of their biggest strengths this season, only allowing an average of 194.2 passing yards a game which is sixth in the NFL. The Steelers' offense has lacked downfield explosiveness all season so I don’t think Diontae Johnson will be breaking off any big runs or downfield plays.
The average longest reception for Johnson this season is 16.8 yards and he has gone under his prop total in this category in seven of the nine games he has had one on the market. Johnson has also seen his targets decline in the last two weeks so if that trend continues he will have very few opportunities to have a big play.
Indianapolis is fifth in the NFL in QB hurry percentage so if they can keep that up and make Kenny Pickett uncomfortable and make him get rid of the ball quickly, then Johnson should be under his prop total for the eighth time this season.