After two hard-fought games against the Pelicans, the Phoenix Suns will head to Houston to take on the Rockets. We’ll preview the game and review which Phoenix Suns player we like to go over his three-point total for the action.
The Suns have one of the best records in the NBA, but they have hit a rough stretch as of late, losing five out of their last six games. Tonight they will look to snap a four-game losing streak but will be without Devin Booker due to injury.
Even over the losing streak, the Suns' offense has still played at a high level, putting up the sixth-highest offensive rating in the NBA over their last ten games. It’s been their defense that has really fallen off as of late. Phoenix has a defensive rating of 116.3 over their last ten games, which is 22nd in the league. In their previous four games, the Suns have allowed 125 or more points to be scored.
The Suns' opponent tonight, the Houston Rockets, was one of the teams to beat them during their recent ten-game stretch. Houston is 16th in the NBA in offensive rating over their last ten games but still managed to score 122 points on the Suns in their one-point win.
Unlike the Suns, the Rockets' defensive problems haven’t just come about recently; they’ve been an issue all season. To keep it in the same perspective, though, the Rockets are 25th in the league in defensive rating over their last ten games, putting their NET rating at -3.8.
Even without Booker, the Suns’ offense should still be able to enjoy the fact that they are no longer playing that juggernaut Pelicans team but instead a bottom-of-the-league defensive unit that is still young and inexperienced.
Offensively, the Suns will need to have a more balanced attack without Booker in the line-up, and I think Mikal Bridges is going to play an even more prominent role than he already does on the offensive end tonight. My best prop play is Mikal Bridges to go over 2.5 three-pointers made at (+125).
Bridges is averaging 2.3 makes over his last ten games but has made three or more in five of those games. Recently Bridges has been attempting more three-point attempts every game averaging six attempts over the last ten games, but in their previous contest, Bridges attempted 13 three-pointers. I’m not expecting him to take double-digit attempts again tonight, but the Rockets are allowing 13.9 three-pointers to be made a game which is 29th in the league.
Bridges is shooting 42.7% from three this season, and the Rockets are allowing their opponents to shoot at a 36.9% clip from three. Between Bridges' recent uptick in attempts from beyond the arc and the Rockets' inability to close out on shooters, I think this prop is worth a look, especially at plus money.
Mikal Bridges Over 2.5 Three Pointers Made (+125)