09.12.2022

Jets @ Bills Game Preview and Pick

The Jets will make the in-state trip up to Buffalo to take on the Bills this weekend. We’ll preview the game and go over who the best team to back in this one is.

Game Preview

Mike White and the Jets were a couple of yards away from completing a comeback win over the Vikings last weekend, but despite the loss, they showed that this offense can move the ball downfield when needed. White has thrown for over 300+ yards in both games he’s started this season and will now take on a Bills defense that had been struggling up until last week.

This won’t be the first time Mike White plays against the Bills, as last season, Buffalo had four interceptions against White, causing him to be pulled from the game and effectively ending his run as the starter.

This season, White now has rookie receiver Garrett Wilson with whom he seems to have built a strong connection. Wilson has gone for 95 and 162 receiving yards in the two games since the quarterback switch and should be able to help White avoid a repeat of last season.

In the one match-up between these two teams this season, the Jets' defense held the Bills' offense to their lowest point total all season. This third-ranked Buffalo scoring offense has looked unstoppable in the four games since that loss. Josh Allen has thrown six touchdown passes over those four games, and Stefon Diggs has 345 receiving yards in that span.

Buffalo has also run the ball well this season, averaging 5.1 yards per carry which is the third-highest in the NFL. It will be an interesting match-up to watch against this Jets' defense, holding opponents to only 4.1 yards per carry which is fifth in the league.

Pick for the Game

The New York Jets can be found as +10 point underdogs in most sportsbooks, and that is my best play for this game. New York has gone 6-4 ATS in their last ten games, and the number in this one is too good not to back them. The Jets won the first match-up 20-17, and that was without Mike White at QB, so this could be another close game.

New York’s defense showed last weekend they can make adjustments and execute them. After allowing 20 points in the first half to the Vikings, they came out in the second half and held them to only seven points.

The one problem this Bills offense has had this season is turning the ball over, averaging 1.7 turnovers a game which is 30th in the league. Turning the ball over makes it very difficult to cover a double-digit spread, especially since the Jets are creating an average of 1.3 turnovers a game and picked off Josh Allen twice in their last meeting.

The Bills' defense is also allowing 218.3 passing yards a game this season, so I think Mike White and Garrett Wilson can take advantage of that and find success all game. The Jets can keep this game close on both sides of the ball.