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15.02.2024

Golden State Warriors @ Utah Jazz Game Preview and Pick: Target These Two Assist Props

We have officially reached the end of the first half of the NBA season. Before we hit the All-Star break, though, three more games are set to be played tonight, including the Golden State Warriors on the road to play the Utah Jazz. The Warriors won the last meeting between these teams back on Monday, and I think their offense can exploit the struggling Jazz defense again tonight.

Game Preview

It’s been an up-and-down first half of the season for the Golden State Warriors. Still, with a win tonight, they can go into the All-Star break one game above .500. When the Warriors beat the Jazz on Monday night, they were able to extend their win streak to five games, but that win streak came to an end last night with a 130-125 loss to the Clippers at home.

Allowing 130 points is an uncharacteristic defensive performance from Golden State, especially recently, since they rank 6th in the league in points allowed per 100 possessions in non-garbage time over the past two weeks (110.3), per Cleaning the Glass. Before last night’s loss, Golden State had not allowed more than 112 points in a game since February 3rd.

If anything could come out of the loss for the Warriors, it was that Steph Curry will be ending the first half of the season on an exceptionally high note. The All-Star put up 41 points last night on 9-19 shooting from behind the arc, which has him averaging 33.9 points per game over his last ten games.

The potential is undoubtedly there for Curry to put up one more big scoring performance before heading to Indiana for the All-Star game, as he will matchup with a Jazz team that ranks 30th in the league in points allowed per 100 possessions in non-garbage time over the past two weeks (126), per Cleaning the Glass.

Utah has lost three consecutive games entering tonight, and they’ve allowed at least 129 points in all three. Just last night, against the Lakers, the Jazz allowed 138 points on 57% shooting from the field. One of Utah's biggest problems on defense is defending the three-point line, as they rank 30th in the league in three-point shooting percentage over their last ten games.

Picks for the Game

A lack of defense mixed with an up-tempo game is a recipe for disaster, and that is what the Utah Jazz will be dealing with tonight. With that, I’ll be taking two Warriors players to go over their assists props. First off is Brandin Podziemski over 4.5 assists, which is priced at (-130) on PointsBet Sportsbook.

The rookie is averaging six assists per game over his last ten games and has exceeded the four-assist mark in seven of those games. Podziemski is also second on the Warriors over the past ten games in potential assists with 7.9, and with the way Steph Curry has been shooting, that number will likely be even higher tonight.

Not only does Podziemski have an ideal matchup, but so does Jonathan Kuminga, who I’ll be taking to have over 2.5 assists. Kuminga is coming off a six-assist game last night and has recorded three or more assists in six of his last ten games. Outside of that, the duo will be taking on a Jazz team that has allowed an average of 32 assists per game over the last ten games, the highest average in the league. With both teams ranked in the top 11 in pace of play in that span, I expect a lot of offense and assist opportunities for this young duo.

Recap

  • Brandin Podziemski Over 4.5 Assists (-130) on PointsBet

  • Jonathan Kuminga Over 2.5 Assists (-120) on FanDuel

*odds subject to change

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