Giants @ Cowboys Thanksgiving Day Game Picks

Watching the Dallas Cowboys on Thanksgiving can be considered a tradition in a large majority of households. Still, the big question today is can you trust them to cover against division rival New York Giants? We’ll break down how we will be betting on the game and which prop bet could be a nice addition to your Thanksgiving card.

Bet #1: New York Giants (+10)

Both teams enter this week on two completely different notes as the Giants come in fresh off a bad home loss to the Detroit Lions, but the Cowboys come in off a big road win over the Vikings. The Cowboys didn’t just win last week they embarrassed the Vikings on their home field. Despite the outcomes of last week I like the underdog Giants to cover the number today at +10.

The Cowboys may have let up only three points last week to the Vikings but this Giants' rushing attack behind Saquon Barkley has been really strong all season. Dallas is actually 26th in the league in average rushing yards allowed and 27th in rushing yards per play so both Barkley and Daniel Jones should be able to break free a couple of times today and move the ball downfield.

Mind you up until last weekend the Cowboys' defense had back-to-back games where they allowed 29 and 31 points so as impressive as last week’s win was for them this defense has not proven they can do it consistently.

The Giants' defense has done a decent job this season in limiting their opponent’s passing game but they’ll need to bounce back this week and focus on stopping the run. Tony Pollard could pose a threat to the Giants' defense today but if New York can get the Cowboys into third-down situations they should be able to stick in this game as they are fifth in the NFL in getting off the field on third down.

Something about a divisional game in the national spotlight makes me think these two teams are going to come out with their best and play a competitive close game.

Bet #2: Tony Pollard Over 84.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards (-104)

Cowboys running back Tony Pollard has accepted a bigger role and ran with it, both literally and figuratively. Pollard enters this week off a huge performance where he put up 80 rush yards and 109 receiving yards. Since October 23rd Pollard has been able to rush for over 80 yards four straight weeks and in two of those weeks, he rushed for 100+ yards. He could be in for another big game today.

The Giants' defense is 31st in the league in average yards per carry allowing 5.3 yards. Dallas runs the ball the seventh most in the entire league so Pollard will undoubtedly have the chance to rack up the rushing attempts and yards.

Dak Prescott has also been getting Pollard more involved in the passing game as well. Pollard had six receptions last week against the Vikings and showed he’s an effective back to throw a screen pass too and he also has the ability to get yards after the catch. I’m expecting Pollard to run wild today on Thanksgiving.