While looking over the board for Week 11, two games' point totals became instant bets for me. We’ll look at why those games stood out and why it’s worth considering adding them to your card for the weekend.
The Minnesota Vikings enter this week off what was easily the most entertaining regular season game of the season last week against the Buffalo Bills. The 8-1 Vikings have one of the best offenses in the league and will now head to Dallas to take on a Cowboys defense that just let up 31 points to a struggling Packers team.
Both teams come into this week on a roll offensively and I think that will continue this week. During their seven-game winning streak, the Vikings' offense has scored 24 or more points in six of those games. As for the Cowboys, their offense has scored a combined 101 points in their last three games.
When I saw these two teams were matching up it was easy to picture a 31-24 game with the way the teams have been able to score as of late. Dalvin Cook should be able to run all over this Cowboys' defense allowing an average of 143.1 rushing yards a game. On the flip side, Dak Prescott and Ceedee Lamb should be able to move the ball downfield with ease on the Vikings' pass defense that’s 29th in the league in average passing yards allowed.
This is shaping up to be one of the most exciting match-ups of the week and I’m expecting offensive fireworks. With the way the Vikings are playing, Dallas knows they’ll need to be aggressive on offense to keep pace so I really like the over of 48.5 in this one.
This game opened with the point total at 45.5 and has been bet down to 44.5 and with that movement, I am on the over in this one. Detroit has been one of the most profitable over teams while the Giants are one of the least profitable over teams but with the Lions' inability to stop the run, I think Saquon Barkley and the Giants will put up some points this weekend.
The Giants enter this week third in the league in average rushing yards a game with 164.8 while the Lions' defense is allowing an average of 5.3 yards per carry and 160.9 yards a game. It should be a common occurrence to see the Giants driving down the field on the Lions' defense this weekend.
As for Detroit's offense, they are averaging 24.3 points per game which is ninth in the NFL, and despite the Giants' solid defense this season they have also struggled to stop the run and that is the strength of this Lions' offense. The running back duo of Jamaal Williams and D’Andre Swift have played at a very high level as of late. The combination of both running games should be able to bring this game over the point total.