Another NFL season came to a close last night, and with it comes a lot of celebration for Chiefs fans while fans of every other team in the league check the opening odds for next year's Super Bowl and talk themselves into why their team will lift the Lombardi next season. We’ll break down which teams have the best odds, and some longshot plays that might be worth looking into.
Kansas City Chiefs (+420): It hasn't always been pretty at times, but the Chiefs remain the favorite in the AFC. Since losing on opening night, Kansas City has won seven of their last eight games. While their offense remains a threat at all times, it's been the Chiefs defense that has truly been impressive this season.
San Francisco 49ers (+470): In terms of top-to-bottom talent, the 49ers are proving they might be at the top of the league. Following their bye week, the 49ers look like they are healthy again, leading to two straight victories. With their offense playing the way it has, San Francisco looks primed for a trip to the NFC Championship game.
Philadelphia Eagles (+500): Behind strong all-around play and their patented "Brotherly Shove," the Eagles seem primed to be the one seed in the NFC. While Jalen Hurts turnovers are cause for concern, they have yet to affect the team's record, and as long as their defense keeps up their level of play, they likely won't. Even with a big game on the horizon against the Chiefs, Philadelphia is in a good spot in their division since they recently beat the Cowboys.
Miami Dolphins (+900): Miami has proven to be the most exciting offense in the league, but they have dropped their three games against teams with winning records. Offensively, the Dolphins should be in a good spot moving forward, but the real question becomes whether or not their defense can slow competent offenses. With the struggles in the rest of their division, the Dolphins seemed destined for a trip to the playoffs, but it's yet to be determined if they can play up to the level of their competition.
Baltimore Ravens (+950): With Lamar Jackson at the helm, there is always a chance for the Ravens. Following their win over the Bengals and the loss of Joe Burrow, the Ravens are in the driver's seat for the AFC North division, so it will be vital for them to stay healthy and outpace the Browns the rest of the way.
Dallas Cowboys (+1100): Dallas has won four of their last five games, as they need to keep winning to keep pace with the Eagles. Even if they can't win the division, Dallas is a dangerous team out of the Wild Card with the way Dak Prescott and their defense have been playing recently.
Detroit Lions (+1300): With an improved defense, the Lions have put up one of the best records in the league up to this point. While there are still a few flaws on the team, Jared Goff should be able to carry the team to a divisional title and at least put them in a position to host at least one playoff game.
Jacksonville Jaguars (+1900): Trevor Lawrence and Doug Pederson have the Jaguars heading in the right direction as a franchise, and after their win over the Titans this past weekend, they look set up to win their division. They had some success last year in the postseason, but they face an uphill battle this year with a loaded AFC.
Houston Texans (+4800): Why not? After finishing as one of the worst teams in the league last season, CJ Stroud has the Texans playing at an exceptionally high level. Houston is in the midst of a three-game winning streak, and with their offense, they are the type of team no one wants to face in the playoffs. If they get healthier down the stretch and Stroud keeps slinging it, this team can cause chaos come postseason time.
Another NFL season will come to a close this weekend, but only after we crown a Super Bowl champion in either the Philadelphia Eagles or Kansas City Chiefs. There are plenty of storylines for the game, which only adds to the overall anticipation to grow until kick-off on Sunday night. We’ll preview the game before going over who we’ll be picking to cover the spread.
Arguably the most impressive NFL team all season has been the Philadelphia Eagles. It’s challenging to find one area of the game they struggled with this year, as they were one of the most well-rounded teams in recent memory. The Eagles ended the regular season first in the league in points scored per game and fourth in the league in points allowed per game, along with being a top rushing offense and passing defense.
Philadelphia averaged 2.1 rushing touchdowns per game, which was the best in the league. They also ranked 3rd in total yards per game and RedZone scoring percentage, all while averaging just one turnover a game. Most of this success can be attributed to quarterback Jalen Hurts, who finished the regular season with 15 rushing and 24 passing touchdowns and only had six interceptions.
The backfield duo of Hurts and Miles Sanders left most teams looking at the back of their jerseys as they rushed for the endzone this season. Sanders rushed for 1,401 yards and 13 touchdowns during the regular season, meaning he and Hurts rushed for 28 of the Eagles' 39 rushing touchdowns this season. They weren’t the only duo that wreaked havoc on defenses either, as receiver duo AJ Brown and Devonta Smith combined for 2,839 receiving yards and 19 touchdowns.
No team is complete, though, with a complementary defense, and this Eagles team certainly has that. Philadelphia allowed the least amount of yards per game and yards per play in the NFL this season, primarily due to their phenomenal secondary and pass rush. Opponents only averaged 171 passing yards per game against the Eagles, as they also ranked fourth in takeaways per game with an average of 1.6.
After a hard-fought and impressive win over the Bengals in the AFC Championship game, Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs will be playing in their third Super Bowl in four years. Kansas City has not lost a game since December 4th, and despite dealing with injuries consistently in that span, they have always found a way to get the job done on both ends of the field.
Their offense again proved this season that they could move the ball down the field easily. They were first in the NFL in yards per game, with an average of 407.9, and they were second to the Eagles in touchdowns per game, with 3.5. Behind Mahomes, the Chiefs averaged a league-leading 294.5 passing yards a game and a total of 45 passing touchdowns, with a team-high 15 hauled in by tight end Travis Kelce.
On the defensive side of the ball, the Chiefs were a solid rush defense all year, holding opponents to an average of 107.3 rush yards per game, which was 8th in the NFL. Their defensive line played a huge part in that, along with their recent improvement with pass defense. The Chiefs had the fifth-best sack percentage this season and were led by defensive tackle Chris Jones who enters this weekend with 17.5 sacks.
The Philadelphia Eagles are currently listed as -1.5 point favorites and receiving 60% of the handle. However, we will be taking the Kansas City Chiefs +1.5 for our play in this one. Philadelphia has yet to be truly challenged this postseason and could be in for a rude awakening when faced with a high-level passing offense. The Eagles' defensive line has been able to alter games all season, but it will be difficult against a Chiefs’ offensive line that was second in QB sack percentage.
Kansas City’s defense is built to handle a rush-heavy offense like the Eagles, and they have the athletes on the defensive line to contain Jalen Hurts from escaping the pocket. The Eagles' offensive line was 21st in QB sack percentage this season, and on top of that, Kansas City was sixth in opponent rushing touchdowns per game. The Chiefs' secondary showed they can compete with the best in their last game against the Bengals, so we expect they’ll be up for the challenge and will raise the Lombardi trophy.
I’m stepping away from my “What Color will the Gatorade Be At The End of the Game?” research for a moment to break down one of the most bet markets for the Super Bowl, which is the point total. We’ll look at how the total has moved over the week, where the money lies right now, and finally, which side of the total we’ll be taking for the big game.
When the initial Super Bowl odds were released, the point total in a large majority of sportsbooks was set at 49.5. Since then, we have seen slight movement throughout the past two weeks, with the total moving between 50 and 50.5 for a while, but with only two days remaining until the big game, the total in most shops sits at either 50.5 or 51.
FanDuel, PointsBet, and BetWay all have the current number at 50.5, while DraftKings, Caesars, BetRivers, and UniBet have kept the number at 51. The juice for either the over or under varies on the shop, so if you have multiple sportsbooks, we advise shopping around to find the best price possible.
At the time of writing this, 56% of the bet percentages are on the over despite the last four Super Bowls going under the total. Interestingly enough, the last Super Bowl that went over the point total was SB LII, which was the last time the Philadephia Eagles reached the big game. Both Super Bowls the Chiefs have played in over the previous five years both went under the point total.
On the season, the over in Chiefs games went 8-11, with both of their playoff games going under the total. The over in Eagles games went 10-9 this season; however, an Eagles game has not gone over the total since December 24th. In the four games since their last over, Philadelphia’s defense has not allowed more than 20 points to be scored.
Due to the Eagles' defense being dominant this year, this Sunday will be the first time they will have a point total set above 49 points this season. Kansas City has had 11 games, with the total set at 50.5 or higher, with only three going over the total.
Over the last ten Super Bowls, the over is 5-5, but by the end of the game on Sunday, we think it will be 6-5. Both defenses in this game have been impressive recently, but the only thing that has been more impressive is their offenses. In press conferences this week, it was made clear that Patrick Mahomes' ankle will not be a hindrance, so with that information, this game could very easily end with a final score of 31-24.
Both teams averaged 28.7 points per game this season and ranked first and second in touchdowns per game as well. Neither side is lacking when it comes to weapons and aggressive playcalling, so when it comes down to it, both defenses will play a factor, but not to the extent they have throughout the playoffs.
The ability to keep drives alive is an obvious significant factor in this game, and both the Eagles and Chiefs were two of the best teams in the league at staying on the field after third down. The Eagles were 4th in third down conversion percentage, while the Chiefs were second, so the combination of creative playcalling and the ability to stay on the field have us leaning towards the over of 50.5 at (-115).
Super LVII is right around the corner, and we’ve got you covered with everything you need to know about betting on it. We’ll be looking at some of our favorite prop bets for this weekend while going over which sportsbook has the best price for each one, so you can maximize your profit come kick-off.
Travis Kelce (-111) on Caesers Sportsbook: The Chiefs tight-end is currently the most bet anytime touchdown scorer, and for good reason. In 15 career playoff games, Kelce hauled 12 touchdowns, one of which was in his first Super Bowl game. In the two Super Bowls he has played in up to this point, he’s totaled 16 catches for 176 yards, and with question marks still surrounding the Kansas City receiving corp, he’ll likely remain heavily targeted, especially in the red zone.
Dallas Goedert (+180) on BetRivers and UniBet: Staying in the tight-end realm, the Eagles' tight-end has already reeled in 10 catches and a touchdown this postseason, and he has become one of Jalen Hurts most trusted receiving options. Kansas City allowed the fourth-most touchdowns to tight ends during the regular season and was 30th in opponent red zone scoring percentage, which is where Goedert is extremely dangerous.
Marquez Valdes-Scantling (+260) on BetRivers and UniBet: I touched on it with Kelce, but the injury concerns around the Kansas City receivers are something of note. Valdes-Scantling didn’t blow anyone away during the regular season, but he caught a touchdown in both playoff games and had 116 yards last weekend. With all eyes likely on Kelce this weekend, MVS could be an excellent guy for Mahomes to take a deep shot to.
Kenneth Gainwell (+370) on DraftKings: He’s not necessarily a “long shot,” but Gainwell is a good candidate for a non-every-down back to find his way into the endzone. He scored against the Giants in the Divisional Round and already has 26 rushing attempts in the playoffs this season. The last time Philadelphia was in the Super Bowl, Corey Clement, who had a similar role to Gainwell, had his number called to score a touchdown, and this year could mimic that.
DeVonta Smith Over 62.5 Yards (-110) on BetMGM: Over the past ten games, Smith is averaging 81.2 receiving yards per game, and he was targeted ten times in the Divisional round against the Giants. Philadelphia won’t be able to just run the ball all game like they were able to against the 49ers, and Smith is an excellent candidate to take advantage of a Chiefs secondary that allowed an average of 221 passing yards a game this season.
Jerick McKinnon Under 23.5 Yards (-108) on BetRivers: Through two playoff games, McKinnon has a total of 17 receiving yards and has only been targeted four times. Most of the Chiefs' pass-play designs recently have resulted in Isiah Pacheco getting most of the targets, and I think that will continue this weekend.
Noah Gray Over 10.5 Yards (-120) on PointsBet: The Eagles have an excellent pass defense, but the Chiefs have a wide range of weapons they’ll need to focus on, and Gray is likely not going to garner a lot of attention. The backup tight end averaged 17.3 yards per game and 10.7 yards per reception, so he has a good chance to go over his total in just one catch.
Patrick Mahomes Over 38.5 (-120) on BetMGM: In his two Super Bowl appearances, Mahomes attempted 42 and 49 passes in those games, and this season he averaged 37.9 a game. Kansas City was 8th in the league in pass-play percentage this season, and I don’t think they’ll shy away from it this weekend, even with the Eagles' secondary being so talented.
Jalen Hurts Over 31.5 (-105) on DraftKings: This season, Hurts averaged 29.9 passing attempts per game, and I expect the Eagles to lean on him more this weekend than they have in the past two playoff games. The Chiefs' defense was far better at stopping the run this season, and if it’s a close game, I think Hurts can go over the number here.
Darius Slay Over 3.5 Tackles and Assists (-112) on BetRivers: The Eagles corner went over this number in nine games this season, and with the amount of times the Chiefs are expected to throw the ball, I think Slay will be in position to do it again. The last time Slay played against Kansas City, he wound up with four tackles and an assist in the game, and with the way he’s played all season, I expect him to step up big again this weekend.
Justin Reid Over 5.5 Tackles and Assists (-102) on FanDuel: Reid plays a massive role in the Chiefs' defense and came up with seven tackles alone in the AFC Championship game against the Bengals. Over his last five games, including the playoffs, Reid has gone over this number in four of them.
Brandon Graham Over .5 Sacks (+185) on BetRivers: No defensive line in the league has been better than the Eagles this season. Philadelphia had a sack percentage of 11.49% this season, which was first in the league, and Graham had a career-high 11 sacks on the year. In his impressive career, Graham has 4.5 career postseason stats, including one in the Eagles' last Super Bowl appearance, so overall, the veteran is worth a look, especially at plus money.
C.J. Gardner-Johnson (+520) on UniBet: The Eagles' safety was tied for first in the league in interceptions this season with six, and he has a true nose for the ball. In two Super Bowl appearances, Patrick Mahomes has thrown a total of four interceptions, and I think if they get overly aggressive at some point in the game, then Gardner-Johnson can make a play.
Three of his interceptions this season came in the fourth quarter, so this may make him a good candidate to make the play of the game. For bettors looking for a bet with extra juice to their slip, this is certainly a good place to start.
Every year the Super Bowl gives way to sportsbooks tapping into their creative side when it comes to prop markets, and we’ll look over a few that might be worth adding to your Super Bowl betting slip.
Will Either Team Score in the First 4 ½ minutes of the game? YES +260 on (SuperBook Sportsbook): The Eagles and Chiefs were both ranked first in the NFL this season in average points per game, and with the magnitude of this game, I think both teams are going to come out aggressive with their opening drive scripts. Kansas City scored in under four minutes in the Conference Championship, and Philadelphia scored in under 3.5 minutes in both playoff games this season.
Total Field Goals Made by Both Teams Under 3.5 -160 on SuperBook: Nick Sirriani is not a coach that is going to play it safe, even in the biggest game of the year, and on top of that, these are two of the most successful offenses in both third down and fourth down conversion percentage. Kansas City and Philadelphia were also ranked second and third in red zone touchdown scoring percentage this season.
Philadelphia Eagles to Have More Time of Possession -144 on FanDuel: The Eagles enter this weekend ranked 8th in the league in time of possession, and even though the Chiefs were ranked 11th, the Eagles operate on a run-heavy play style that gives them a slight advantage in this area.
Will Both Teams Have the Lead in the First Half? YES +136 on FanDuel: We’re expecting a highly competitive game between these two teams and have offenses that can create points consistently. It’s worth taking this at number, especially since this prop would have hit in both of the Chiefs' playoff games this season.
It's not often that a sporting event can bring together people from all walks of life, but that's what the Super Bowl indeed does. Diehard fans, casual watchers, and even those who don't know football rules come together for this massive event.
The biggest day of the season recorded a whopping $7.6 billion worth of bets last year in the US alone, and the number is steadily increasing yearly.
Before placing a bet, players must consider the two teams in question, the different betting types, and of course, compare the odds. In particular, odds will fluctuate almost constantly regarding Super Bowl betting. As such, timing is key to getting a good bet.
One of the best ways to gain an edge regarding the Super Bowl is to do tons and tons of research. It can also pay to place an early bet on the potential winner because the odds are often better earlier in the season.
But, part of this process does involve carefully selecting the sportsbook app. With many online betting apps out there, each operator has a lot of competition. Some sportsbooks even provide helpful stats, hints, tips, and live in-gaming betting, making the betting experience even better.
Odds can also differ widely between sportsbooks; therefore, players must check out these odds before deciding where to place their bets. A sportsbook with better odds will mean potentially more significant winnings and profit margins for the player.
With this in mind, line shopping is essential to aid players in finding the highest possible odds. Super Bowl is always one of the season's biggest events, and bookies are ready for bettors to place huge bets, but they're also prepped for novice, small-sized bets. No matter the bettor's level, the importance of researching team form, location, and win history cannot be understated.
Although real money betting is a lot of fun, it's vital to understand the types of bets that can be placed and get a good idea of how to win. Due to its status as the premier sporting event in the country, the Super Bowl is home to an array of betting options, and players can place simple moneyline bets, choose point spreads, over/under wagers, prop bets, and much more.
Generally, the most diehard bettors avoid moneylines, whereas bets that cover the spread or prop bets are preferred. The latter is because many different prop options are available, allowing bettors to get as specific as they want. However, when it comes to betting on Super Bowl for fun, the moneyline bets (which team wins the match) are probably the number one choice popularity-wise.
However, choosing the best Super Bowl betting app is imperative for success. Betting lines and types will differ dramatically for this event as odds shift during the season. Timing is also crucial, as some sportsbooks offer longer odds in the offseason. The earlier a bet is placed, the better the odds are likely to be as bettors pip the tipsters.
Future bet lines change weekly and can fluctuate massively in the days before the event itself, which makes an early bet strategically important as punters could claim much better odds.
Getting started with online betting on this world-famous football final is very easy. Just follow these simple steps:
1. Sign up for a sportsbook that offers bets for the Super Bowl.
2. Choose a payment method and make a deposit.
3. Go to the sports list and choose a bet type for the event.
4. Add the bet type and the amount placed as a bet on the bet slip.
5. Click on "Place bet" to finalize the bet.
With so many different betting types available, it's hard to know which are the best options to succeed, particularly with this exciting football event, as many other betting options are offered, which can be a little overwhelming.
But not all are great options, and this Super Bowl betting guide whittles down all the main types to the absolute best choices. The most common wagering options are moneyline, totals, spreads, in-game, futures, and props.
However, moneyline bets are only sometimes the top way to go, as they can be hard to reap a profit. The most popular options for this event are spreads, futures, and props, and in fact, props are one of the most popular bets, as there is a vast selection of different options available.
Almost anything goes with a prop bet, adding extra excitement to the game.
Hugely popular across a range of sports and events, but most notably, the Super Bowl, proposition or prop bets are among the top-ranked options. This type of bet allows bettors to place a wager on whether something will happen during the game.
It may sound too straightforward, and it is. But the joy of this type of bet is that there are hundreds of options during this main event. If a player can think of something that might happen, such as whether the team that wins the coin toss will win the game, there is probably a bet for it.
Some props are strategy-based, while others are purely for entertainment, but they all provide a lot of fun and some potentially big payouts.
A bet for those thinking ahead, futures on the Super Bowl can be very lucrative, provided the player knows what they are doing. Futures bets must be made in advance before the conference championship games have even started.
This bet places a wager on which team will win the main event. But, as none of the championship games have been played yet, there's no form to back up any odds. With more than just two teams that could win, this bet can be made during the pre-season and often reaps the benefit of early bird high odds.
As one of the most popular wagers across a range of sports, spread bets are also readily available for the Super Bowl. A spread bet is a wager on which one of the two teams will do better than expected.
The bookmaker will determine the number of points it thinks the favored team will win. If the bettor puts money on the favorite and they win by more points than the number listed by the bookie, the bet pays out. Alternatively, if players bet on the underdog, and this team wins or loses by fewer points than the spread, the wager also wins.
One of the most exhilarating bet types is the in-game bet, and especially for players enjoying Super Bowl betting online, this is a great way to experience the thrill of the game from home. This type of bet occurs live and means that the Super Bowl has already started when the bet is placed.
And since the game is already underway, current form and success are already informing the odds, which means the odds for a favorite might be dropping fast, while those for the underdog can rise.
All the top sportsbooks offer in-game betting for this huge event, but the time players can change and place their bets will vary depending on the bookie. Depending on the site, players can change their wager, set a new one, or cash out after each quarter, the half, or even when each play is over.
The best sportsbooks and apps for in-game betting provide a vast selection of betting options, such as moneylines, spreads, and totals, allowing players to change their bets regularly as the score changes.
Once you have learned all the different betting options available, you may need to find a good sportsbook where you can place your bets. There are several important factors to consider for choosing a sportsbook and making Super Bowl bets online, and the foremost of these is staying safe.
So, selecting a recommended and secure sportsbook is the best way to go. It should be appropriately licensed and recognized by a legal gambling authority, and all-in-all legal within the state the player is betting from.
And after the legitimacy of the sportsbook is established, many other factors make a sportsbook suitable for different types of bettors. First, the site and app should offer a wide range of betting options for this big event. Also, there should be competitive odds in place. Better still, the sportsbooks usually offer different bonuses, odds boost promotions, and so on to make potential bets even more appealing.
The layout of the betting site should be intuitive, easily navigable, and transfer nicely to an easy mobile app. However, sportsbook apps with slow load times, convoluted menus, no bonuses, and minimal betting options, should usually be avoided. Players can easily compare the betting options, rewards offered, payment methods, security, and support to see which sites shape up better than others.
Almost every betting website and app offers various rewards and bonuses during the Super Bowl to maintain a competitive advance. Depending on the sportsbook, the size and type of these offers will vary quite dramatically.
These offers commonly include free bets, match deposit bonuses, odds boosts, and more. These bonuses and rewards are vital for online betting as they encourage players to place their bets on specific sites, and sportsbooks need these offers to keep players wagering with them.
However, it's not just the sportsbooks that benefit from such rewards; bettors do too. Using an offer can be a great way to boost and manage a bankroll, extending funds to cover more bets. Taking on some of these offers is also an excellent way for players to test out different bet types, allowing them to experiment without spending their hard-earned cash.
One of the best things about the Super Bowl is the number of bonuses and promotions available for newer players. Many sportsbooks will offer free bets for this event, and these rewards are a great way to wager without risking too much of your own money.
However, these bets will be linked to a specific bet on this exciting event, so there is slightly less choice. The size of the wager is also fixed, so players won't be getting any life-changing winnings from using it. However, it does give players a great starting point.
The first step is to find an online sportsbook that's legal, accessible from the player's state and has Super Bowl bets in place. Once found, signing up and making the first deposit is a simple process.
A wide range of bet types can be placed on the Super Bowl, including spreads, totals, futures, props, and moneyline bets. All of these, and more, can be made via the top mobile betting apps.
In-game wagers mean players can place bets once the game has started. During the Super Bowl, in-play betting allows players to cash out, place new wagers, and change existing bets in real time.